Top 12 economies by GDP PPP (IMF 2026) — the nations whose monetary policy, trade flows, and fiscal health drive global markets.
#
Country
Score
Level
Trend
Macro Stress
Fiscal Vulnerability
Monetary Risk
Structural Imbalance
1
United Kingdom
5.6/10
elevated
→+0.1
48
85
55
31
2
United States
5.6/10
elevated
→+0.1
44
81
58
39
3
Turkey
5.4/10
elevated
→0.0
76
36
49
53
4
Brazil
5.1/10
elevated
→-0.1
46
42
55
66
5
France
4.9/10
elevated
→0.0
53
62
46
32
6
Italy
4.7/10
elevated
→+0.1
51
54
43
35
7
Germany
4.4/10
moderate
→0.0
49
63
31
28
8
Indonesia
4.4/10
moderate
→0.0
37
40
48
53
9
India
4.3/10
moderate
→+0.3
37
30
49
59
10
China
3.4/10
moderate
→-0.1
38
19
40
39
11
Japan
3.4/10
moderate
→0.0
46
22
33
32
12
Russia
3.1/10
moderate
→-0.1
39
7
38
41
Sort by:
#
Country
Score
Level
Trend
Macro Stress
Fiscal Vulnerability
Monetary Risk
Structural Imbalance
Top Driver
1
Lebanon
8.0/10
critical
→+0.1
80
89
96
50
Monetary Risk: 9.6/10
2
Palestine
7.9/10
critical
→+0.1
100
64
91
50
Macro Stress: 9.9/10
3
New Caledonia
7.5/10
critical
→+0.1
93
50
50
47
Macro Stress: 9.3/10
4
Mozambique
7.4/10
high
→0.0
50
93
75
83
Fiscal Vulnerability: 9.3/10
5
Yemen
7.1/10
high
→0.0
77
50
50
62
Macro Stress: 7.7/10
6
Sudan
6.9/10
high
↓-0.5
83
46
50
78
Macro Stress: 8.3/10
7
South Sudan
6.8/10
high
→+0.1
96
70
26
74
Macro Stress: 9.6/10
8
Timor-Leste
6.8/10
high
→0.0
64
35
97
81
Monetary Risk: 9.7/10
9
Palau
6.7/10
high
→0.0
49
50
100
53
Monetary Risk: 10.0/10
10
Republic of the Congo
6.6/10
high
→0.0
71
46
50
83
Structural Imbalance: 8.3/10
11
Dominica
6.6/10
high
→0.0
50
62
99
56
Monetary Risk: 9.8/10
12
Montenegro
6.6/10
high
→0.0
60
70
86
47
Monetary Risk: 8.6/10
13
Namibia
6.6/10
high
→0.0
69
55
81
60
Monetary Risk: 8.1/10
14
Sierra Leone
6.6/10
high
→+0.1
52
54
81
84
Structural Imbalance: 8.4/10
15
Equatorial Guinea
6.5/10
high
→+0.3
55
50
50
79
Structural Imbalance: 7.9/10
16
Senegal
6.5/10
high
→0.0
33
77
89
68
Monetary Risk: 8.9/10
17
Eswatini
6.5/10
high
→0.0
95
53
42
64
Macro Stress: 9.5/10
18
Argentina
6.4/10
high
→+0.1
99
50
44
53
Macro Stress: 9.9/10
19
Malawi
6.4/10
high
→+0.2
62
42
88
61
Monetary Risk: 8.8/10
20
Mongolia
6.3/10
high
→+0.2
42
72
74
68
Monetary Risk: 7.4/10
21
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6.3/10
high
→+0.1
66
52
86
42
Monetary Risk: 8.6/10
22
Rwanda
6.2/10
high
→+0.2
43
64
79
68
Monetary Risk: 7.9/10
23
South Africa
6.2/10
high
→-0.3
88
50
48
56
Macro Stress: 8.8/10
24
Burundi
6.1/10
high
→0.0
44
63
84
58
Monetary Risk: 8.4/10
25
Botswana
6.1/10
high
→+0.1
85
38
58
56
Macro Stress: 8.5/10
26
Gabon
6.1/10
high
→0.0
69
42
50
72
Structural Imbalance: 7.2/10
27
French Polynesia
6.1/10
high
↑+0.4
69
50
50
50
Macro Stress: 6.8/10
28
Somalia
6.1/10
high
→0.0
77
19
50
89
Structural Imbalance: 8.8/10
29
Curaçao
6.0/10
high
→0.0
42
50
90
50
Monetary Risk: 9.0/10
30
Micronesia
6.0/10
high
→+0.3
60
50
50
59
Macro Stress: 6.0/10
See the full picture
This is one of five risk dimensions. Visit the Risk Dashboard to see all five dimensions together, or check the Country Risk Radar for individual country deep-dives.